Opinon poll shows political uncertainty after the June 7 election

Opinon poll shows political uncertainty after the June 7 election

Ankara, May 12, 2015/ Independent Balkan News Agency

Why Erdogan and Davutoglu have turned their attention to the HDP

Police tried to invade the house of the leader of the HDP Demotras!

By Manolis Kostidis

Interesting facts introduced the poll conducted on behalf of the Republican People’s Party of Turkey (CHP), a few weeks before the parliamentary elections in Turkey on June 7.

According to this poll, the ruling AKP will be the first party but will not achieve self-reliance to form a government because of the presence of the pro-Kurdish party HDP, which reportedly exceeds the electoral threshold of 10% “stealing” seats from the first party.

Detailed figures show that the AKP will receive 39.2%, the CHP 28.1%, the Nationalist Action Party (MHP) 17.8% and the HDP 10.3. If the figures of the survey come true, the Parliament of 550 MPs the distribution of seats might be as follows.

AKP 232, CHP 151, MHP 104 and HDP 63 seats.

This result leaves all options for the future government of Turkey, since the AKP will be forced to form a coalition with a party to continue to govern. There could there be a three-party opposition alliance against the AKP, but a cooperation of the Turkish Nationalists with the Kurds is unlikely.

These results are perhaps the reason why the president of the country Recep Tayyip Erdogan has launched election rallies in favor of the AKP, despite the fact that the country’s constitution stipulates that the president must not support any party.

At the same time, Prime Minister Ahmet Davutoğlu is carrying out his own rallies. Both leaders, however, are not particularly concerned with the CHP and the MIP, but turn their arrows towards HDP and its leader Selahattin Demirtaş. The HDP is the one that will determine the future of Turkey, since if it overcomes the electoral threshold, the AKP even with higher rates will not be able to have the majority of the 376 seats needed to change the Constitution, giving special powers to Erdogan. But if it stay outside Parliament then the plans of the Turkish President could come be implemented.

With the situation being as it is, Erdoğan and Davutoğlu blame Demirtaş as a man who does not want Islam, who wants to abolish the Directorate of Religious Affairs (once government officials were saying the same thing). The pro-government Akşam newspaper went so far as to claim that Demirtaş eats pork (Islam forbids eating pork).

On Monday night, the police tried to invade the home of Demirtaş (in the presence of himself and of his family) in Diyarbakır as they had received a complaint from an unknown source, for smuggling of illegal fuel. Later, the police claimed that it was a “mistake” and that the complaint was made to the house next to the house of the leader of HDP.