North Macedonia: SDSM ahead of VMRO-DPMNE by 4 points – Survey

North Macedonia: SDSM ahead of VMRO-DPMNE by 4 points – Survey

According to a new poll, the Alliance for Albanians and Alternative Coalition holds a small advantage over the DUI. To the question: “Which party will win the elections” – 23.8% answered that it will be the SDSM-Besa coalition, while 12.5% ​​believe that it will be the VMRO-DPMNE coalition.

An extensive poll conducted in late May and early June shows that the SDSM-Besa coalition is ahead by four percentage points against the VMRO-DPMNE coalition, with the parties garnering 20% versus 16% of the votes. In the Albanian front, for the first time, the Alliance for Albanians and Alternative surpasses the DUI. According to the survey, AA + A would gain 6.2 percent, with the DUI following with 5.9 percent.

The survey was conducted between May 30 and June 4 on a sample of 1,111 respondents. Due to the corona crisis, the survey was conducted by telephone and the margin of error was +/- 2.94 percent.

According to our sources, the research (commissioned by a well-known international electoral system organization that helps the elections of the new democracies) was presented to all major political parties via video conference a few days ago, but has not yet been published.

According to the results, a significant percentage of 34.1% of voters say they will head to the polls, while 30.5 percent say they are likely to vote.

In addition to those who said they knew who they were voting for, there were a large number of those who refused to answer or were unsure – 15.5 and 16.4 percent respectively. The Left gets 0.6 percent and the DPA 0.3 percent.

Asked which party would win the elections, 23.8 percent said it would be the SDSM-Besa coalition, while only 12.5 percent said it would be the VMRO-DPMNE coalition. But a huge 47% responded they did not know what the outcome will be.

Another interesting fact is that the SDSM-Besa Coalition has a small advantage among Macedonians over the VMRO-DPMNE coalition: 23.7 versus 23.5%. Among Albanians, the SDSM-Besa scheme can expect 7.3 percent of the electorate and VMRO-DPMNE nothing. As for the nationalities falling under the “other” category, the SDSM has a big advantage over VMRO-DPMNE: 26.5 versus 7.7 percent.

For citizens, the most important problem at the moment is the corona crisis (30.6%), followed by the economy and unemployment (23.4%) and crime and corruption (13.3%). The rule of law is behind with 8.3 percent.

Moving on to the topic of the pandemic and the score of the political parties from 1 to 5. The VMRO-DPMNE received a bad grade from 36% of the respondents, while 7.7% rated them with 4 or 5. 26 percent graded the SDSM with an unsatisfactory score, while 24.5 percent of respondents rated them with 4 or 5. All Albanian parties received unsatisfactory scores of more than 40%.

Asked in which direction the country was moving, 28.1 percent said “wrong”, 27.2 percent said “right”, while 40.9 percent said “neither to the wrong nor to the right direction”. (N.B.) /ibna