Do numbers always tell the truth about COVID-19?

Do numbers always tell the truth about COVID-19?

Having monitored from the start of the COVID-19 coronavirus pandemic, the countries covered by the Independent Balkan News Agency LTD IBNA, one can come to a safe conclusion.

Each country uses statistics from the pandemic depending on the numbers that serve it.

As such, some countries showcase a low numbers of deaths as a success, others a low number of cases and others whichever number serves them better for domestic consumption, to inform citizens of the success of their government.

But do numbers tell the truth?

All countries, using the official data posted daily by the WHO and the statistical data per million in deaths and tests, highlight the desired results in their “propaganda”.

But is, for example, the number of deaths or cases per million a safe statistic?

Probably not. The only thing you can draw safe conclusions from is the tests per million, which shows the government’s action with regard to the spreading and recording the new coronavirus.

As such, the death toll per million statistics is fictitious, firstly because all the cases have not been recorded and secondly because not all deaths are checked to see whether they resulted from COVID-19. Which means that the figures are not accurate and thus a fictitious image is created.

In Belgium, for example, according to reports, every death of an elderly person is recorded in the victims of COVID-19, so the death toll is many times higher than the actual victims of coronavirus. It is estimated that only 40% of deaths that are officially reported belong to the victims of the pandemic.

It might be safer to examine how many deaths have been confirmed from the recorded cases, to see what the mortality rate is, but also the ability of the health authorities of each country.

Another important element is to examine what the immunity of the population is, which can determine the next moves of the governments to lift the restrictive measures. That’s why the more tests that are administered, the safer conclusions can be drawn about the immunity of the population in coronavirus.

In the table below you can see, based on the official data announced, the mortality rate of the cases, the number of tests and the recovery rate of the cases so far.

According to the number of cases, the ranking is: Turkey, Romania, Serbia, Greece, Croatia, Bosnia and Herzegovina, Slovenia, North Macedonia, Bulgaria, Cyprus, Kosovo, Albania and Montenegro.

According to the confirmed deaths, the ranking is: Turkey, Romania, Serbia, Greece, Slovenia, Northern Macedonia, Bosnia and Herzegovina, Bulgaria, Croatia, Albania, Cyprus and finally Montenegro, as the country with the fewer deaths.

According to the cure rate of the confirmed cases, Albania come first, followed by Croatia, Montenegro, Bosnia and Herzegovina, North Macedonia, Romania, Turkey, Greece, Kosovo, Cyprus, Slovenia, Bulgaria, Serbia, although this is directly related to the amount of time a country has been exposed to the pandemic.

In terms of tests performed per million in each country, the ranking is: Cyprus, Slovenia, Turkey, Montenegro, Croatia, Serbia, North Macedonia, Romania, Greece, Bulgaria, Kosovo, Bosnia and Herzegovina and most recently Albania.

Finally, in terms of mortality rates from coronavirus cases, the ranking is as follows: Slovenia, Romania, Greece, North Macedonia, Bulgaria, Bosnia and Herzegovina, Albania, Kosovo, Croatia, Turkey, Asia Minor, Montenegro and finally Serbia./ibna

Country

Cases

Deaths

Recovered Test

/1M

% Cases/

Death

% Recover/

Cases

Turkey

110,130

2,805 29,140 10,656 2,55% 26,46%
Romania

11,036

628 3,054 7096 5,69%

27,67%

Serbia

8,042

156 1,182 7,360 1,94%

14,70%

Greece

2,517

136 577 6,199 5,40%

22,92%

Croatia

2,030

55 1,103 7,703 2,71%

54,33%

Bosnia Herzegovina

1,516

59 624 3,238 3,89%

41,16%

Slovenia

1,402

83 221 23,862 5,92%

15,83%

North Macedonia

1,386

61 500 7,257 4,40%

36,06%

Bulgaria

 

1,348 56 205 3,886 4,15%

15,77%

Cyprus

817 14 148 36,064 1,71%

18,11%

Kosovo

731

21 166 3,512 2,87%

22,71%

Albania

726

28 410 2,529 3,86%

56,47%

Montenegro

321

7 153 8,096 2,18%

47,66%

Total 142,002 4,109 37,483 7,250 2,89%

26,40%