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IBNA Analysis/Ankara joins Moscow-Teheran axis? - Accepts Assad

IBNA Analysis/Ankara joins Moscow-Teheran axis? - Accepts Assad
Ankara, August 24, 2016/Independent Balkan News Agency

By Manolis Kostodis

MIT officers visited Damascus

The FM of Turkey and the secret service to Teheran

"Turkey invaded Syria under the pretext of fighting ISIS. The real objective is is prevention of the creation of a unified Kurd territory", Turkish analysts say.

The invasion of Turkish forces in Syria is causing serious concern to the Kurds who find Turkish tanks in the region they were preparing to place under their control.

Ankara, however, has been prepared this military operation with careful steps. President Recep Tayyip Erdogan had visited St. Petersburg to meet with Vladimir Putin. There the two men along with their staffs discussed their different positions on Syria.

On August 12 the Foreign Minister of Iran Cavad Zarif visited Ankara, followed by the revelation of the Turkish newspaper Cumhuriyet on the secret visit of Turkish Foreign Minister Mevlut Cavusoglu in Tehran.

On August 22, the president of the Kurds of northern Iraq Masud Barzani visited Ankara, while the diplomatic activity culminated with the arrival of US Vice President Joe Biden in the Turkish capital.

It is believed that Ankara has realized the deadlock in its policy on Syria and is negotiating an honorable disengagement, aimed at the prevention of the creation of an autonomous region or a Kurdish State in northern Syria.

This was evident in recent statements by Turkish Prime Minister Binali Yildirim, who first mentioned that "the interim period could be with Bashar Al Assad. Besides, he is one of Syria's factors". Until a few weeks ago Turkey has called for the immediate withdrawal of Syrian president from power and was referring to him as "killer." This change of attitude appears to have come after negotiations with Moscow and Tehran, which have been supporting Assad for Years. Yildirim also said that Turkey is in favor of a unified Syria, showing that Ankara does not want to have autonomous regions within the country.

However, in the invasion of the Turkish tanks there is cooperation with the forces of the Free Syrian Army composed of mild Islamists, who are taking over many villages in Syria pushing the jihadists back. The newspaper Cumhuriyet revealed a camp of the Free Syrian Army with 1500 men in Turkey, "which is supported by the Turkish secret services".

The same newspaper has revealed that MIT officials have visited Damascus to meet Assad officials, in an effort to set up communication channels the regime!

The bombing of Kurdish targets in the city of Hasakah from Syrian warplanes, two days ago, is a signal of possible cooperation or temporary Ankara Agreement -Damaskou. Since the start of the civil war in Syria, this the first time Assad's forces battle the Kurdish forces.

"We will support any force that is fighting the Islamic State", Cavusoglu said.

"I do not know if it is a temporary alliance with Assad, it is a temporary period of cooperation, but I can see a correction in foreign policy against the Islamic state", says the political analyst of Hurriyet Akif Beki.

Turkey wants a safe area within Syria in the Carablus-Azaz axis to prevent the effort of the PKK to establish a Kurdish zone in northern Syria, as it considers this a threat to Turkish unity. The unity of Syria safeguards the territorial integrity of Turkey as well. In this context, Ankara found that it does not share the same goal with the US which supports the Kurdish forces (YPG).

As such, Turkey came closer to Moscow and Tehran to increase its military operational area. At the same time however, it acts as if it is fighting the Islamic State to keep the balance with the US", says political analyst Fikret Bila to Hurriyet.

But most analysts believe that the ultimate goal of Ankara is the removal of jihadists from the region of Carablus, to push them south and in their place instead of the Kurds have Arab-Muslim militants. This will prevent the communication between the two areas and the Kurds will not create a unified Kurdish region in northern Syria.

"That is why Turkey moved away from the US and approached the Moscow-Techaran axis, and subsequently accepted the temporary stay of the Damascus regime. Ankara sees the issue of the Kurdish corridor in Syria as a matter of survival, as if this corridor is completed then the territorial integrity of Turkey will be threatened", says the newspaper Hurriyet.

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